Jean-Luc Lemmens, Head of telecom unit at IDATE DigiWorld, notes “growth perspectives remain still high when Superfast technologies represented 48% of broadband access subscriptions in June 2017, 9 points more than a year before.”
FTTH/B has consolidated its position as the leader in the superfast broadband solution, far ahead of FTTx/D3.0, followed by VDSL
FTTH/B represented 68% of FTTx subscriptions regarding June 2017. Growth of FTTH/B subscriptions will continue until 2021, albeit not at the same pace year on year, and will naturally decrease as the markets mature.
FTTx networks has adopted an heterogeneous approach in different regions
No huge change in the geographical predominance of APAC in the FTTH/B market. FTTH/B is also the most widely deployed technology in MENA. This was the case in LATAM as well, but competition from VDSL technologies is growing in the region (especially Brazil).
FTTx/D3.0 is still dominant in North America and is by and large growing more rapidly than other technologies. There is considerable room for VDSL (and other copper based technologies such as G.Fast) to grow in Europe where incumbents are still working to optimise their copper networks.
A strong growth evolution of FTTH/B subscriptions will continue to increase worldwide at an annual average rate of around 10% until 2021
The growth in the total number of FTTH/B subscribers will gradually decrease from 46% in 2016 to 8% in 2021: this is linked to the gradual maturity of the markets.
By 2021, the share of FTTH/B subscriptions will represent 39% of total broadband market worldwide (to be compared to 31% at end 2015).
FTTH/B is now deployed in all major regions in the world, at different levels: FTTH/B represents a great opportunity for countries where broadband is not yet widespread (Latin America, Africa and some countries in south east Asia).
FTTH Operators ranking: 5 Asian and 3 US players in the global Top 10
There are 5 Asian and 3 US players in the global Top 10. Then one player from Russia and one from Western Europe. Indeed, only one player from Western Europe enters the ranking thanks to its large-scale FTTN+VDSL rollouts (BT).
On the Asia side, China’s three telcos (China Telecom, China Mobile and China Unicom) top the FTTH/B rankings. To be notice the tremendous progression of China Mobile now N°2 worldwide.
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How is Covid-19 affecting 5G?
The public health crisis caused by the Covid-19 pandemic has affected the entire planet, since it first appeared in late 2019. The crisis forced a number of countries to scale back their economic activity for several weeks, if not months. As a result, the global economy has fallen into its deepest recession since the Great Depression of 1929 – a recession that has affected every single industry worldwide. Even if telecommunications have helped sustain businesses that could continue to operate virtually, the telecoms industry itself, 5G included, has felt the impact of the pandemic.