Summary

With the ongoing acceleration in the way data consumption patterns are evolving, and the more rigorous demands by Internet users for service level agreements, the delivery pathways for connectivity solutions are inevitably subject to change. Today, emerging countries offer a set of windows of opportunity for the deployment of high-broadband networks including the rollout of FTTH projects.

This report aims at providing a guideline to decision makers, to highlight the important topics to be considered in FTTH deployment in emerging countries.

In addition, based on a four-scenario classification, the goal is to provide some insights to telecom players and governments that will help them understand the variables to consider when deploying a FTTH network, based on the type of emerging country which is their focus.

Seven emerging countries have been selected in order to gather insights and to show different approaches adopted in different regions: Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, Indonesia, Philippines, Kenya and South Africa.

Table of contents

1. Executive Summary

2. Methodology & definitions
2.1. General methodology of IDATE DigiWorld’s reports
2.2. Methodology specific to this report
2.2.1. Definition
2.2.2. State of existing infrastructures
2.2.3. Market size
2.2.4. Market structure
2.2.5. Consumer behaviour
2.2.6. Sources
2.2.7. Scope

3. Emerging countries: scenarios and alternatives for FTTH
3.1. Four scenarios to classify emerging countries where FTTH want to be deployed
3.2. Key elements to take into account when deploying FTTH networks in emerging
3.3. FTTH: Realities observed in seven emerging countries
3.4. Additional factors to take into account when deploying FTTH in Emerging Countries

4. In-depth analysis by emerging country
4.1. Asia-Pacific
4.1.1. Philippines
4.1.2. Indonesia
4.2. Latin America
4.2.1. Brazil
4.2.2. Mexico
4.2.3. Argentina
4.3. Sub-Saharan Africa
4.3.1. South Africa
4.3.2. Kenya

5. Conclusions

List of tables and figures

List of tables and figures

Figures
Figure 1 : Classification of seven emerging countries in the 4-scenarios approach
Figure 2: Technologies implemented in seven emerging countries
Figure 3: Strategies and government influence in seven emerging countries
Figure 4: Evolution of seven emerging countries based on the four-scenario approach
ASIA PACIFIC
Figure 5: FTTH/B subscribers in Asia/Pacific by country, 2016
Figure 6: Growth of FTTH/B homes passed by country in Asia/Pacific, Dec-2015-Dec-2016
Figure 7: Southeast Asia opportunity window
Figure 8: Southeast Asia FTTH/B homes passed and subscribers forecast, 2017-2021
Philippines
Figure 9: Radar for Philippines
Figure 10: Positioning of Philippines in the matrix of scenarios
Figure 11: Breakdown of FTTx subscribers by technology in Indonesia
Figure 12: FTTx players market shares in Indonesia
Indonesia
Figure 13: Radar for Indonesia
Figure 14: Positioning of Indonesia in the matrix of scenarios
LATIN AMERICA
Figure 15: FTTH/B subscribers in Latin America by country, 2016
Figure 16: Latin America opportunity window
Figure 17: FTTH/B homes passed and subscribers forecast in Latin America, 2017-2021
Brazil
Figure 18: Breakdown of FTTx subscribers by technology in Brazil
Figure 19: FTTx players market shares in Brazil
Figure 20: FTTH/B players market shares in Brazil
Figure 21: % of FTTx homes passed by player in Brazil
Figure 22: % of FTTH/B homes passed by player in Brazil
Figure 23: Opportunity window for the FTTH business in Brazil
Figure 24: FTTH/B subscribers and homes passed forecast in Brazil
Figure 25: Radar for Brazil
Figure 26: Positioning of Brazil in the matrix of scenarios
Mexico
Figure 27: Breakdown of FTTx subscribers by technology in Mexico
Figure 28: FTTx players market shares in Mexico
Figure 29: FTTH/B players market shares in Mexico
Figure 30: % of FTTx homes passed by player in Mexico
Figure 31: % of FTTH / B homes passed by player in Mexico
Figure 32: FTTH/B subscribers and homes passed forecast in Mexico
Figure 33: Opportunity window for the FTTH/B business in Mexico
Figure 34: Radar for Mexico
Figure 35: Positioning of Mexico in the matrix of scenarios
Argentina
Figure 36: Breakdown of FTTx subscribers by technology in Argentina
Figure 37: FTTx players market shares in Argentina
Figure 38: FTTH/B players market shares in Argentina
Figure 39: % of FTTx homes passed by player in Argentina
Figure 40: % of FTTH / B homes passed by player in Argentina
Figure 41: FTTH/B subscribers and homes passed forecast in Argentina
Figure 42: Opportunity window for the FTTH/B business in Argentina
Figure 43: Radar for Argentina
Figure 44: Positioning of Argentina in the matrix of scenarios
Figure 45: FTTH/B deployments in Africa
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
Figure 46: Evolution of FTTH/B subscribers in sub-Saharan Africa – 2012-2016
South Africa
Figure 47: Telkom South Africa FTTH/B evolution
Figure 48: Breakdown of FTTx subscribers by technology in South Africa
Figure 49: Opportunity window for the FTTH business in South Africa
Figure 50: Radar for South Africa
Figure 51: Positioning of South Africa in the matrix of scenarios
Kenya
Figure 52: Opportunity window for the FTTH business in Kenya
Figure 53: FTTH/B subscribers and homes passed forecast in Kenya
Figure 54: Radar for Kenya
Figure 55: Positioning of Kenya in the matrix of scenarios

Geographic area

Latin America
  • Argentina
  • Brazil
  • Mexico
Asia-Pacific
  • Indonesia
  • Philippines
Middle East & Africa
  • Kenya
  • South Africa

Players

  • Access Kenya
  • Afrihost
  • America NET
  • ANATEL
  • Cell C
  • CEMIG Telecom
  • COPEL Telecom
  • Dark Fibre Africa
  • Digital Villages
  • ECN – Nashua
  • Electronet
  • Exim Bank of China
  • FibreHoods
  • Globe Telecom
  • Helios Investment Partners
  • Huawei
  • i3 Africa
  • Jamii Telecom
  • Kenya Power
  • Link Africa
  • Liquid Telecom - Neotel
  • MTN South Africa
  • MWEB
  • National Transmission Corporation (TransCo)
  • Netflix
  • Nokia
  • Oi – Brazil Telecom
  • Openserve
  • Petrobras
  • Philippine Long Distance Telephone Company (PLDT)
  • Prysmian
  • Safaricom
  • Safaricomi
  • Sercomtel
  • Sky Cable
  • Smart Village
  • Telebras
  • Telefónica-Vivo
  • Telkom
  • Telkom Kenya
  • Telkom South Africa
  • TIM Brazil
  • Vodacom
  • Vogel Telecom
  • Vox Telecom
  • Vumatel
  • Wananchi – Zuku

Slideshow

1. Key points

2. Which (type of) emerging country are you targeting for FTTH deployment?

  • New dynamics in fixed telecom market: greater demand for bandwidth, new technologies in use
  • Two dimensions to be considered for FTTH deployment in emerging countries …

3. Key elements to take into account in deploying FTTH networks in emerging countries: The ‘onion approach’

  • A set of variables for understanding how to deploy FTTH in emerging countries
  • Checklist of variables in the onion

4. What is reality in emerging countries?

  • For this edition of the study, seven emerging countries were selected. Various fixed technologies have been deployed.
  • Government plays an important role in FTTH rollouts in emerging countries

5. FTTH can work as a solution. Some additional risks are at play in emerging countries

  • A general analysis is required of each emerging country, to understand its potential value

6. In-depth analysis, of each emerging country under study

  • Philippines
  • Indonesia
  • Brazil
  • Mexico
  • Argentina
  • South Africa
  • Kenya

7. Methodology

Other details

  • Reference: M17550MRA
  • Delivery: on the DigiWorld Interactive platform
  • Languages available: English
  • Tags: FTTH, emerging countries, emerging economies, high-broadband networks

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