Summary

This report analyses the overriding trends and changes taking place in the mobile market in Europe with the arrival of the fifth mobile generation. It explores the driving forces behind the market growth and changes. It includes volume and value market forecasts up to 2025 by country and use cases. Forecasts up to 2025 by country and region:

  • 5G revenues by use case
  • 5G subscriptions by use case

Table of contents

1. Executive Summary
1.1. Key facts
1.2. 5G commercial launches in Europe
1.3. First 5G commercial offers in Europe
1.4. Spectrum assignments in the EU-28
1.5. 5G subscription forecasts in Europe up to 2025
1.6. 5G revenue forecasts in Europe up to 2025

2. Belgium
2.1. Key facts
2.2. Belgium regulation
2.3. Belgium trials
2.4. Service coverage and maturity
2.5. Wireless CapEx in Belgium
2.6. Orange Belgium
2.7. Proximus
2.8. Telenet
2.9. 5G subscription forecasts in Belgium up to 2025
2.10. 5G revenue forecasts in Belgium up to 2025

3. Finland
3.1. Key facts
3.2. Finnish regulation
3.3. 5G trials in Finland
3.4. Service coverage and maturity
3.5. First 5G plans in Finland
3.6. Wireless CapEx in Finland
3.7. DNA Finland
3.8. Elisa
3.9. Telia
3.10. 5G subscription forecasts in Finland up to 2025
3.11. 5G revenue forecasts in Finland up to 2025

4. France
4.1. France lags behind 5G world leaders
4.2. French regulation started in mid-2017
4.3. French 3.5GHz spectrum auction underway
4.4. Extensive tests are underway using trial licences
4.5. Orange
4.6. SFR
4.7. Bouygues Telecom
4.8. Wireless CapEx in France
4.9. 5G subscription forecasts in France up to 2025
4.10. 5G revenue forecasts in France up to 2025

5. Germany
5.1. Germany is one of Europe’s 5G leaders
5.2. The German 5G framework started in 2015
5.3. 5G trials in Germany
5.4. Germany set ambitious coverage obligations for 5G services
5.5. Availability of commercial 5G services and prices
5.6. Deutsche Telekom
5.7. Vodafone Germany
5.8. Telefónica Germany
5.9. Wireless CapEx in Germany
5.10. 5G subscription forecasts in Germany up to 2025
5.11. 5G revenue forecasts in Germany up to 2025

6. Greece
6.1. 5G in Greece, key facts
6.2. Greece regulation
6.3. 5G trials in Greece
6.4. Service coverage and maturity
6.5. Wireless CapEx in Greece
6.6. Cosmote
6.7. Vodafone Greece
6.8. Wind Hellas
6.9. 5G subscription forecasts in Greece up to 2025
6.10. 5G revenue forecasts in Greece up to 2025

7. Italy
7.1. Italy is a 5G network European leader
7.2. Low, mid- and high-bands auctioned in October 2018
7.3. Italy has conducted many trials nationwide
7.4. Vodafone and TIM have launched 5G services
7.5. Commercial 5G services: availability and prices
7.6. Vodafone Italy
7.7. Telecom Italia
7.8. Wind Tre
7.9. Wireless CapEx in Italy
7.10. 5G subscription forecasts in Italy up to 2025
7.11. 5G revenue forecasts in Italy up to 2025

8. Poland
8.1. 5G in Poland
8.2. Polish regulation
8.3. 5G trials in Poland
8.4. Service coverage and maturity
8.5. Wireless CapEx in Poland
8.6. Orange
8.7. Play
8.8. T-Mobile
8.9. Plus
8.10. 5G subscription forecasts in Poland up to 2025
8.11. 5G revenue forecasts in Poland up to 2025

9. Spain
9.1. Spain has has moved quite fast in 5G
9.2. Spain invested in a 5G National Plan as early as July 2017
9.3. Spain started trialing 5G technology in late 2017
9.4. Fast regulation led to coordinated 5G initiatives and 5G launches
9.5. Availability of commercial 5G services and 5G prices
9.6. Vodafone Spain
9.7. Telefónica Spain
9.8. Orange Spain
9.9. Wireless CapEx in Spain
9.10. 5G subscription forecasts in Spain up to 2025
9.11. 5G revenue forecasts in Spain up to 2025

10. Sweden
10.1. 5G in Sweden is expected in 2020
10.2. Swedish regulation
10.3. 5G trials in Sweden
10.4. Service coverage and maturity
10.5. Wireless CapEx in Sweden
10.6. Telenor
10.7. Telia
10.8. 5G subscription forecasts in Sweden up to 2025
10.9. 5G revenue forecasts in Sweden up to 2025

11. The United Kingdom
11.1. The UK is Europe’s 5G network leader
11.2. The UK was the first in the EU to auction 5G spectrum
11.3. Fast regulation led to coordinated 5G initiatives
11.4. The UK aims to cover major cities
11.5. 5G commercial service availability in the UK: 140 cities and locations
11.6. UK’s first 5G plans and packages compared
11.7. EE UK
11.8. Vodafone UK
11.9. Three UK
11.10. O2 Telefonica UK
11.11. Wireless CapEx in the UK
11.12. 5G subscription forecasts in the UK up to 2025
11.13. 5G revenue forecasts in the UK up to 2025

12. Turkey
12.1. 5G in Turkey, key facts
12.2. Turkish regulation
12.3. 5G player trials and initiatives
12.4. Service coverage and maturity
12.5. Wireless CapEx in Turkey
12.6. Turkcell
12.7. Turk Telekom
12.8. Vodafone Turkey
12.9. 5G subscription forecasts in Turkey up to 2025
12.10. 5G revenue forecasts in Turkey up to 2025

List of tables and figures

List of tables and figures

1. Key facts
• 5G Timeline: 5G commercial launches in Europe
• 5G commercial launches in Europe planned for 2020
• 5G commercial offers available in Europe
• Currently assigned mobile spectrum and planned auctions in the EU-28
• Price (€cents) per MHz per capita for 10 years in Europe, by country
• 5G subscriptions in Europe by use case, 5G share of mobile subscriptions

2. Belgium
• 5G Timeline in Belgium, 2018 – 2022
• MNOs’ share of total mobile subscribers in Belgium
• 5G Spectrum assignments
• Wireless and Wireline CapEx in Belgium
• 5G subscriptions in Belgium by use case, 5G share of mobile subscriptions
• 5G revenues in Belgium by use case, 5G share of mobile revenues

3. Finland
• 5G Timeline in Finland, 2018 – 2022
• MNOs’ share of total mobile subscribers in Finland
• 5G Spectrum assignments
• 5G plans by operator in Finland
• Wireless and Wireline CapEx in Finland
• 5G subscriptions in Finland by use case, 5G share of mobile subscriptions
• 5G revenues in Finland by use case, 5G share of mobile revenues

4. France
• 5G Timeline in France, 2015 – 2022
• MNOs’ share of total mobile subscribers in France
• 5G Spectrum assignments
• 3.5 and 26 GHz 5G tests in France
• Wireless and Wireline CapEx/sales in France
• Wireless and Wireline CapEx of French carriers
• 5G subscriptions in France by use case, 5G share of mobile subscriptions
• 5G revenues in France by use case, 5G share of mobile revenues

5. Germany
• 5G timeline in Germany 2016 – 2022
• 5G Spectrum assignments
• Germany’s five-step 5G strategy
• 5G availability in Germany
• 5G plans by operator in Germany
• Wireless and Wireline CapEx/sales in Germany
• Wireless and Wireline CapEx of German carriers
• 5G subscriptions in Germany by use case, 5G share of mobile subscriptions
• 5G revenues in Germany by use case, 5G share of mobile revenues

6. Greece
• 5G Timeline in Greece, 2018 – 2022
• MNOs’ share of total mobile subscribers in Greece
• 5G Spectrum assignments
• Wireless and Wireline CapEx/sales in Greece
• 5G subscriptions in Greece by use case, 5G share of mobile subscriptions
• 5G revenues in Greece by use case, 5G share of mobile revenues

7. Italy
• 5G Timeline in Italy, 2016 – 2022
• 5G Spectrum assignments
• 700 MHz and 26 GHz auction results, October 2018
• 3.6-3.8 GHz auction results by players, October 2018
• 5G availability in Italy
• 5G plans by operator in Italy
• Wireless and Wireline CapEx/sales in Italy
• Wireless and Wireline of Italian carriers
• 5G subscriptions in Italy by use case, 5G share of mobile subscriptions
• 5G revenues in Italy by use case, 5G share of mobile revenues

8. Poland
• 5G Timeline in Poland, 2018 – 2022
• MNOs’ share of total mobile subscribers in Poland
• 5G Spectrum assignments
• Wireless and Wireline CapEx/sales in Poland
• 5G subscriptions in Poland by use case, 5G share of mobile subscriptions
• 5G revenues in Poland by use case, 5G share of mobile revenues

9. Spain
• 5G Timeline in Spain, 2015 – 2022
• MNOs’ share of total mobile subscribers in Spain
• 5G Spectrum assignments
• 5G availability in Spain
• 5G plans by operator in Spain
• Wireless and Wireline CapEx/sales in Spain
• Wireless and Wireline of Spanish carriers
• 5G subscriptions in Spain by use case, 5G share of mobile subscriptions
• 5G revenues in Spain by use case, 5G share of mobile revenues

10. Sweden
• 5G Timeline in Sweden, 2018 – 2022
• MNOs’ share of total mobile subscribers in Sweden
• 5G Spectrum assignments
• Wireless and Wireline CapEx/sales in Sweden
• 5G subscriptions in Sweden by use case, 5G share of mobile subscriptions
• 5G revenues in Sweden by use case, 5G share of mobile revenues

11. The United Kingdom
• 5G Timeline in the UK, 2015 – 2022
• 5G Spectrum assignments
• The UK’s 3.4 GHz spectrum auction in April 2019
• 5G plans by operator in the UK
• Wireless and Wireline CapEx/sales in the UK
• Wireless and Wireline CapEx in the UK
• 5G subscriptions in the UK by use case, 5G share of mobile subscriptions
• 5G revenues in the UK by use case, 5G share of mobile revenues

12. Turkey
• 5G Timeline in Turkey, 2017 – 2022
• MNOs’ share of total mobile subscribers in Turkey
• 5G Spectrum assignments
• Wireless and Wireline CapEx/sales in Turkey
• 5G subscriptions in Turkey by use case, 5G share of mobile subscriptions
• 5G revenues in Turkey by use case, 5G share of mobile revenues

DataSet Scope

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Forecasts up to 2025 by country and region:
• Europe
• Belgium
• Finland
• France
• Germany
• Greece
• Italy
• Poland
• Spain
• Sweden
• Turkey
• United Kingdom
• Rest of Europe

List of indicators
• Subscriptions and revenues broken down into three business cases: eMBB, mMTC and uRLLC
– 5G subscriptions by use case (thousands)
– 5G revenues by use case (million EUR)
• Commercial launches & coverage
• 5G tariffs
• 5G infrastructure suppliers
• Carriers’ wireless and total CapEx
• 5G spectrum

Geographic area

Europe
  • Belgium
  • Finland
  • France
  • Germany
  • Greece
  • Italy
  • Poland
  • Spain
  • Sweden
  • Turkey
  • United Kingdom

Players

  • Affirmed Networks
  • Bouygues Telecom
  • BT/EE
  • Cosmote
  • DNA
  • Drillisch 1&1
  • Elisa
  • Ericsson
  • Free
  • Huawei
  • Intel
  • LG
  • Nokia
  • Oppo
  • Orange (Belgium, France, Poland, Spain)
  • Play
  • Plus
  • Proximus
  • Qualcomm
  • Samsung
  • SFR
  • Tele2
  • Telecom Italia
  • Telefónica (Germany, Spain, UK)
  • Telenet
  • Telenor
  • Telia
  • Three UK
  • T-Mobile (Germany, Poland)
  • Turk Telecom
  • Turkcell
  • Vodafone (Germany, Greece, Italy, Spain)
  • Wind Hellas
  • Wind Tre
  • Xiaomi
  • ZTE

Other details

  • Reference: M20410EUBA
  • Delivery: on the DigiWorld Interactive platform
  • Languages available: English
  • Tags: 5G, 5G commercial launches, 5G revenues, 5G subscriptions, mobile market, wireless market

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